NOTICE: The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

February 25

February 26

February 27

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%) # Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude :Prob_Mid: Mid/Active 25 5 5 Mid/Minor_Storm 10 1 1 Mid/Major-Severe_Storm 1 1 1 # # Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes :Prob_High: High/Active 15 15 15 High/Minor_Storm 30 20 20 High/Major-Severe_Storm 40 10 10

Kp Index Breakdown Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27 00-03UT 4 2 2 03-06UT 4 1 2 06-09UT 3 1 1 09-12UT 2 1 1 12-15UT 2 1 1 15-18UT 2 1 1 18-21UT 3 2 1 21-00UT 2 2 2

Geospace Discussion (SWPC) .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active due to activity associated with the arrival of the 20 Feb CME. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels through midday on 25 Feb as CME effects persist. A return to mostly quiet conditions is expected on 26-27 Feb.

Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) will be possible during the next 12 hours while an enhanced solar wind stream continues to flow past Earth. Visible aurora will be likely at very high latitudes.

Aurora Oval Forecast