3 Day Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast (November 28, 2021)

NOTICE:
The geomagnetic forecast below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to space weather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

November 28
November 29
November 30

Geomagnetic 3 Day Probabilities (%)

# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               15            10            10
Mid/Minor_Storm           5             1             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            20            20
High/Minor_Storm         25            20            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  25            10            10
Kp Index Breakdown

            Nov 29     Nov 30     Dec 01
00-03UT        3          2          2     
03-06UT        3          1          1     
06-09UT        3          1          2     
09-12UT        2          1          2     
12-15UT        1          1          1     
15-18UT        1          1          1     
18-21UT        1          2          1     
21-00UT        2          2          1      


Geospace Discussion (SWPC)

   
                                

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled due to weak CME effects.

.Forecast...
Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 29 Nov as CME effects
subside. Mostly quiet conditions are expected to prevail over 30 Nov-01
Dec with the return of a background solar wind environment.


Latest Kp Index

Aurora Forecast

Visible aurora will remain likely around the polar zones during the next 24 hours due to an enhanced solar wind stream.

Aurora Oval Forecast

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