X-Rays |
EVE |
Protons |
ACE Solar Wind |
Kp Index |
AU Oval |
Sunspots |
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06/19/2013 @ 10:20 UTC
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Solar Flare Detected (C8.4)
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An approaching active region off the southeast limb produced a solar flare measuring C8.4 at 09:54 UTC. Although not particularly large, this happens to be the largest X-Ray event since the M5.9 flare on June 7th. Image by SDO.
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06/19/2013 @ 10:20 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity has been low with minor C-Class flares detected around new Sunspot 1776 in the northern hemisphere and the approaching active region off the southeast limb. The largest of these events was a C8.4 flare at 09:54 UTC this morning and was centered off the southeast limb. All other regions remain fairly stable. A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is visible in the latest Lasco and STEREO imagery and was the result of a prominence eruption off the southwest limb. The plasma cloud was directed away from Earth. Stay tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest Space Weather updates.
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06/18/2013 @ 14:25 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels. Most of the low level C-Class activity detected has been centered around Sunspot 1775 and also an approaching region off the east limb. Sunspots 1772, 1773 and 1775 are the current areas of interest while we await the new regions appearance off the southeast limb. A small new sunspot appears to be forming in the northern hemisphere to the northwest of 1773. There will remain a chance for C-Class solar flares and perhaps an isolated M-Class event.
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06/17/2013 @ 09:50 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity has been fairly low with minor C-Class activity detected around Sunspots 1772 and 1775. Both of these regions, particularly 1775 continue to show signs of sunspot development. Sunspot 1768 which has quietly transited the southern hemisphere the past 5 days is about to rotate onto the west limb. All other regions remain stable. There will be an increasing chance for an isolated M-Class event today.
Sunspot 1775 located in the southeast quadrant continues to expand in both structure and magnetic complexity. NOAA now estimates about a 20% chance for an isolated M-Class event, and a slight 5% chance for a major X-Class flare event. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest and most up to date information.
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06/16/2013 @ 13:30 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning and Happy Father's Day to all the Dads.
Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Sunday morning. Solar activity is currently low with minor B-Class activity detected around Sunspot 1775 and a C1.0 flare around 1768 at 10:20 UTC. Sunspot 1768 continues to rotate towards the west limb and will out of direct Earth view by Monday evening. Sunspot 1775 in the southeast quadrant expanded over the past 12 hours and could be the region to watch in the upcoming days. There will remain a chance for C-Class solar flares.
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06/15/2013 @ 13:30 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Below is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Saturday morning. Solar activity is currently at very low levels. New Sunspot 1773 was numbered today. There will remain a slight chance for an isolated M-Class event.
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06/14/2013 @ 12:50 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels with numerous minor B-Class flares detected around each visible region, and a C1.2 flare around Sunspot 1769 at 01:31 UTC. Sunspot 1768 continues to gradually grow and may produce an isolated M-Class event should the growth continue. Between new Sunspots 1769 and 1770, another region appears to be in formation and is confirmed to be magnetically independent according to the latest SDO magnetic imagery. Stay Tuned to www.SolarHam.com for the latest information.
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06/13/2013 @ 12:20 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity is currently at very low levels with minor B-Class activity detected around both Sunspot 1768 and a returning region now in view near the southeast limb. Sunspot 1765 faded as it rotated onto the west limb. There will remain a chance for C-Class solar flares.
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06/12/2013 @ 14:00 UTC
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Solar Update
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Solar activity continues at very low levels. A new sunspot forming in the southern hemisphere was numbered 1768 on Wednesday. Sunspot 1765 continues to decay as it heads for the west limb. There will remain a chance for isolated C-Class solar flares.
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06/10/2013 @ 13:40 UTC
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Solar Update
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Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Monday morning. Solar activity continues at very low levels with only minor B-Class activity detected around Sunspot 1765. There will continue to be a chance for C-Class solar flares. Small new sunspot 1767 located in the southeast quadrant already faded away.
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06/09/2013 @ 13:40 UTC
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Solar Update / Weak CME Impact
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Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Sunday morning. Solar activity is now at very low levels with active Sunspot 1762 located fully behind the west limb. Sunspot 1765 in the northern hemisphere decayed somewhat and is now classified a Beta magnetic group. Finally, a new sunspot forming in the southeast quadrant was numbered 1767 today. There will remain a chance for at least C-Class solar flares.
It appears that a small CME that was expected to deliver a glancing blow to our geomagnetic field today did just that. The impact however was too weak to do very much in the way of geomagnetic activity. The ACE Spacecraft shows a minor increase in solar wind speed and fluctuation in the Bz/IMF component just after 04:00 UTC early this morning. Geomagnetic Storming does not appear likely today. I will provide further updates if conditions change.
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06/08/2013 @ 14:55 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Saturday morning. Solar activity has been very low since the M5.9 event on Friday evening. Active region 1762 is now located behind the southwest limb and out direct Earth view. The Sun is currently down to one visible Sunspot region, Sunspot 1765 located in the northern hemisphere. Solar activity is expected to be low this weekend with a slight chance for an isolated M-Class event.
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06/07/2013 @ 23:00 UTC
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Strong Solar Flare Detected (M5.9)
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A moderately strong solar flare reaching M5.9 was observed Friday evening around Sunspot 1762 off the southwest limb. Because of the location near the limb, any associated CME would be directed mostly away from Earth. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information.
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06/07/2013 @ 12:35 UTC
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Solar Update
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Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Friday morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels. A minor C3.0 flare was detected at 11:51 UTC and was centered around Sunspot 1762 now rotating onto the southwest limb. All other regions, including Sunspot 1765 which is now in a perfect geoeffective position remain stable. Solar activity should continue at low levels in the short term.
A Moderate Geomagnetic storm (Kp=6) was observed overnight due to a Bz/IMF component that was tipped sharply south for several hours. Sky watchers in many areas at middle to high latitudes were able to witness visual aurora last night. See images below. The storm is slowly subsiding at this time. More updates later today.
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06/07/2012 @ 02:30 UTC
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Moderate Geomagnetic Storm in Progress
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A moderate geomagnetic storm is currently in progress (Kp=6) due to a Bz/IMF component that has been tipped sharply south for several hours. Sky watchers at high latitudes should be alert for visual aurora if it is dark outside.
Radio Aurora: An aurora opening is now taking place on 50mhz across the northeast and north central parts of the USA and Canada, and also in Scandinavia. Now would be a good time to turn your yagis to the north and towards the auroral curtain. Stations located out west should begin to get into auroral activity as the oval makes its way into a more geoeffective position.
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2013 Jun 07 0221 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
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06/06/2013 @ 13:45 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity has been very low since the M-Class flare on Wednesday morning. Sunspot 1762 continues to make its way towards the southwest limb. Sunspot 1765 located in the northern hemisphere continues to evolve and may become the sunspot to watch heading into the weekend. There will remain a chance for at least C-Class solar flares.
The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) has been spending prolonged periods tipped somewhat south over the past 12 hours and this is contributing to a rise in geomagnetic activity around the polar regions. So far the Kp index remains below the geomagnetic storm threshold.
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06/05/2013 @ 10:00 UTC
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Solar Update
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Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Wednesday morning. Solar activity is now moderate thanks to a low level M-Class flare around Sunspot 1762 at 08:57 UTC this morning. This region could produce another isolated M-Class event as it continues to rotate towards the southwest limb. All other regions are currently stable. Elsewhere, Two new sunspots appear to be forming this morning in the northern hemisphere. A bright Coronal Mass Ejection was observed late last night in the latest Lasco imagery and originated from an eruption beyond the east limb. This will have no impact on Earth. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com, the best place for the most up to date and accurate Space Weather information.
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06/05/2013 @ 09:15 UTC
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Moderate Solar Flare Detected (M1.3)
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Sunspot 1762 produced a moderate solar flare reaching M1.3 at 08:57 UTC. The region is not in the best position for Earth directed solar flares, however I will provide further updates if any sort of Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is associated. As always, Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the most up to date Space Weather information. Image by SDO / EVE.
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06/04/2013 @ 09:15 UTC
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Solar Update
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Hello and good Tuesday morning to everybody. Solar activity is at very low levels this morning with only minor B-Class activity detected. Sunspot 1762 listed as a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic group remains the largest visible Earth facing sunspot. There will remain a chance for at least C-Class solar flares around this region. Old regions 1744 and 1750 rotated back into view off the east limb and are both spotless. The solar wind stream detected by the ACE Spacecraft remains elevated near 600 km/s, but should continue to show a slow decline over the next 24-48 hours. Further geomagnetic storming is not expected at this time.
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06/03/2013 @ 08:15 UTC
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Solar Flare Detected (C9.5)
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Sunspot 1762 produced a near M-Class flare (C9.5) at 07:25 UTC early Monday morning. Image by EVE.
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06/02/2013 @ 14:00 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels. New Sunspot 1762 in the southern hemisphere continues to expand and poses a small threat for an isolated M-Class flare event. In the northern hemisphere, a small sunspot looks to be forming and could be numbered 1764 on Sunday.
The solar wind speed remains elevated above 700 km/s. A period of minor geomagnetic storming was again observed on Saturday evening.
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06/01/2012 @ 15:20 UTC
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Moderate Geomagnetic Storm in Progress
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Moderate G2 Level Geomagnetic Storming persists today at high latitudes. Earth is currently under the influence of a Coronal Hole high speed solar wind stream.
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2013 Jun 01 1500 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
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05/31/2013 @ 14:30 UTC
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Solar Update
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Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Friday morning. Solar activity continues at low levels with no threat for strong solar flares in the forecast today. Sunspot 1756 is rotating towards the southwest limb as it continues to slowly decay. What a difference a couple of weeks make. One week X-Class flares, two weeks later, quiet. A solar wind stream flowing from a Coronal should begin to arrive later today or tomorrow. An increase in geomagnetic activity may be possible this weekend.
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05/30/2013 @ 12:40 UTC
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Solar Update
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Solar activity is back to very low levels on Thursday morning. There is currently little chance for strong solar flares. All visible sunspots remain small and magnetically simple. A coronal mass ejection (CME) was seen this morning off the east limb, but was directed away from Earth.
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05/29/2013 @ 10:15 UTC
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Solar Update
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Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Wednesday morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels. Minor C-Class flares have been detected around Sunspot 1756 and also the spotless remains of old region 1739 now rotating into view off the northeast limb. A small Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is visible this morning leaving the top of the Sun and was the result of a prominence eruption. This event is not directed towards Earth.
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05/27/2013 @ 11:35 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Attached is a new image of the visible solar disk on Monday morning. Solar activity is at very low levels this morning. Currently there are 4 visible sunspot regions. Sunspots 1755 and 1756 remain the largest of these, but are not magnetically complex. There is currently only a very low chance for moderate to strong solar flares today.
Our geomagnetic field is fairly stable this morning. The solar wind remains at higher levels (600 km/s+) and the Bz/IMF component is currently pointed slightly south. Geomagnetic Storming is not expected today, however continue to check SolarHam.com for the latest updates.
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05/26/2013 @ 14:00 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels. The largest X-Ray event within the past 24 hours was a minor C3.8 flare at 09:57 UTC around Sunspot 1756. All other regions are currently stable. Region 1748 rotated onto the west limb as it continued to show signs of decay. There will remain a chance for C-Class solar flares.
Our geomagnetic field is currently at quieter levels after rotating periods of minor geomagnetic storming at high latitudes. The solar wind remains elevated near 600 km/s. Geomagnetic activity should gradually begin to taper off as the day goes on.
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05/25/2013 @ 13:25 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Attached is a new image of the visible solar disk on Saturday morning. Solar activity remains at very low to low levels with only minor C-Class activity detected within the past 24 hours. Most of the low level activity has been centered around Sunspots 1755 and 1756. Previously active Sunspot 1748 continues to decay and is nearly spotless as it rotates towards the west limb. A magnetically simple sunspot rotated into view off the east limb. This is the return of old region 1736.
Proton Levels continue to gradually decrease and is finally below the minor S1 Radiation Storm level threshold.
Unsettled to Minor Geomagnetic Storm conditions continue in the aftermath of yesterday's CME impact. This could persist over the next 24 hours.
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05/24/2012 @ 19:00 UTC
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Minor Geomagnetic Storm in Progress
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A minor Geomagnetic Storm (Kp=5) is currently in progress following a CME impact on Friday afternoon. Be on the lookout for visible aurora if you are located at higher latitudes and it is dark outside.
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 24 1853 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
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05/24/2012 @ 18:15 UTC
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CME Sweeps Past Earth / Geomagnetic Storm Warning
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A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) flung into space by a solar flare on May 22nd swept past Earth on Friday afternoon. The ACE Spacecraft first detected the shock passage at 17:35 UTC. A geomagnetic sudden impulse was detected by the Boulder, Colorado magnetometer at around 18:12 UTC. An increase in geomagnetic activity may be possible heading into Friday evening. Stay Tuned for updates.
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 May 24 1814 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 24 2200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
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05/23/2013 @ 11:45 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Thursday morning. Solar activity has been low since the isolated M5.0 event yesterday morning around region 1745 which is now rotating onto the west limb. The M5.0 event generated a bright Coronal Mass Ejection that was directed mostly to the west. A glancing blow impact will be possible on Saturday, however a geomagnetic storm is not expected at this time. Energetic proton levels streaming past Earth increased to Strong S3 Radiation Storm Levels following the eruption, but has since fallen back somewhat to Moderate S2 Levels. There will remain a chance for C-Class solar flares and perhaps another isolated M-Class event, particularly around Sunspots 1755 and 1756. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com, the best place to track all of the latest Space Weather news and data.
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05/22/2012 @ 15:30 UTC
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CME Sweeps Past Earth
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The CME Prediction Model released by Goddard Space Flight Center is calling for a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) to sweep past Earth by May 25. Most of the material was directed to the west, however a portion of the plasma cloud could be directed this way. An increase in geomagnetic activity will be possible this weekend.
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05/22/2013 @ 15:30 UTC
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Strong Solar Flare Detected (M5.0)
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A strong eruption peaking at M5.0 around Sunspot 1745 on Wednesday morning produced a bright Coronal Mass Ejection. This is the second CME of the morning, however this one could have somewhat of an Earth directed component.
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05/22/2013 @ 10:30 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Solar activity continues at low levels. Most of the minor C-Class activity within the past 24 hours has been detected around Sunspot 1756 located in the southeast quadrant. Previously active Sunspot 1748 continues to decay and is no longer a threat for strong solar flares. All other regions remain fairly stable at this time. A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is visible in the latest Lasco C2 imagery and looks to be the result of a prominence eruption off the northwest limb. So far it does not look to be Earth directed, however I will provide further updates later this morning.
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05/21/2013 @ 10:30 UTC
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Solar Update
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Good morning. Attached is an updated image of the visible solar disk on Tuesday morning. Solar activity remains at low levels this morning. Old Sunspot 1731 which is now in view off the northeast limb was renumbered 1755. A new sunspot forming in the southeast quadrant should be numbered 1756 later today. There will remain a chance for an isolated M-Class solar flare within the next 24 hours.
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05/20/2013 @ 05:50 UTC
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Moderate Solar Flare Detected (M1.7)
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A moderate solar flare peaking at M1.7 was just observed off the east limb around returning Sunspot 1731. This region appears to be quite active and will begin to rotate back into view on Monday. Because the sunspot is located off the east limb, any eruption at this time would have little to no effect on our planet. Stay Tuned as we will get a better look at the active region over the next few days.
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05/19/2012 @ 23:15 UTC
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CME Sweeps Past Earth
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The magnetometer located in Boulder, Colorado is now detecting a geomagnetic sudden impulse at 23:11 UTC. This signals the passage of an interplanetary shock past our planet. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest updates.
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2251 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 19 2351 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2013 May 19 2221 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2320 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 20 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
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05/19/2013 @ 18:20 UTC
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Solar Flare Detected (C9.9)
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Old Sunspot 1731 is expected to rotate back into view off the east limb within the next 24-48 hours. The active region produced a near moderate solar flare (C9.9) at 17:50 UTC. Image by SDO/EVE. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest and most up to date Space Weather information.
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05/19/2013 @ 12:50 UTC
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Solar Update / Incoming CME Watch
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Good morning. Solar activity is currently at low levels with only minor C-Class activity detected within the past 24 hours. Sunspot 1750 which is heading for the west limb produced a C3.4 flare this morning at 09:15 UTC. This region along with Sunspot 1748 post the greatest threat for solar flares today. Sunspot 1748 continues to slowly decay and the threat for strong solar flares should continue to diminish around this region. All other regions are fairly stable.
An incoming Coronal Mass Ejection originating from an M3 solar flare around Sunspot 1748 on May 17 is expected to sweep past Earth on Sunday. Minor to Moderate Geomagnetic Storming will be possible at high latitudes should the plasma cloud impact our geomagnetic field. Stay Tuned for the latest updates.
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05/18/2012 @ 03:20 UTC
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Minor Geomagnetic Storm in Progress
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A minor Geomagnetic Storm (Kp=5) is currently in progress following a CME impact this evening. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) continues to tip south at times. Be on the lookout for visible aurora if you are at higher latitudes.
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 18 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
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05/18/2012 @ 02:50 UTC
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Minor CME Impact
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A little later than expected, but a Coronal Mass Ejection from the X1 event on May 15th swept past Earth this evening. A geomagnetic sudden impulse measuring 31 nT was detected by the Boulder, Colorado magnetometer. Currently the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is tipped south. An increase in geomagnetic activity will be possible tonight.
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05/17/2012 @ 10:15 UTC
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Coronal Mass Ejection Detected
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A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is now visible within the latest STEREO Behind COR2 imagery following the M3.2 solar flare around Sunspot 1748. There may be an Earth directed component, however I am still awaiting Lasco imagery to determine this. More updates later this morning.
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05/17/2013 @ 09:30 UTC
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Moderate Solar Flare Detected (M3.2)
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A moderate solar flare reaching M3.2 was detected around Sunspot 1748 at 08:57 UTC Friday morning. The active region is now in a geoeffective position for possible Earth directed explosions Stay Tuned for more information. Image below by SDO.
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