Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2019 Oct 15 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 15-Oct 17 2019 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 15-Oct 17 2019

            Oct 15     Oct 16     Oct 17
00-03UT        3          2          2     
03-06UT        3          1          1     
06-09UT        2          1          1     
09-12UT        2          1          1     
12-15UT        1          1          1     
15-18UT        1          1          1     
18-21UT        1          2          2     
21-00UT        1          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               15             5             5
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             1             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         25            20            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  20            10            10
#
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at relatively quiet levels over the next few days.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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