Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2018 Jun 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 19-Jun 21 2018 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 19-Jun 21 2018

            Jun 19     Jun 20     Jun 21
00-03UT        3          3          2     
03-06UT        4          2          2     
06-09UT        3          2          1     
09-12UT        2          1          1     
12-15UT        2          1          1     
15-18UT        2          2          1     
18-21UT        2          2          2     
21-00UT        2          2          1     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
Mid/Active               30            20            15
Mid/Minor_Storm          10             5             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            20            15
High/Minor_Storm         30            30            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  40            25            20
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet levels over the next several days. Widespread aurora is not currently in the forecast.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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