Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2019 Apr 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 23-Apr 25 2019 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 23-Apr 25 2019

            Apr 23     Apr 24     Apr 25
00-03UT        2          2          2     
03-06UT        1          2          3     
06-09UT        2          2          3     
09-12UT        2          1          4     
12-15UT        1          1          4     
15-18UT        1          1          2     
18-21UT        1          3          2     
21-00UT        1          3          3     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               10            15            25
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             5            10
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            20            15
High/Minor_Storm         15            20            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  15            20            30
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next few days with an increase to active conditions possible by April 25th when a coronal hole stream is predicted to become geoeffective.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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