Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2017 May 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 25-May 27 2017 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 25-May 27 2017

            May 25     May 26     May 27
00-03UT        1          2          4     
03-06UT        1          2          4     
06-09UT        2          1          3     
09-12UT        1          1          2     
12-15UT        2          2          2     
15-18UT        1          3          2     
18-21UT        1          4          3     
21-00UT        2          4          3     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.


:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               10            20            20
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             5             5
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         15            20            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  10            20            20
#

Aurora Forecast
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet levels over the next few days with a chance for active conditions beginning May 26th. A possible glancing blow CME impact will be possible on that date.


Click HERE for the latest Alerts, Watches and Warnings.


Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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