Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.

:Issued: 2018 Oct 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 22-Oct 24 2018 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 22-Oct 24 2018

            Oct 22     Oct 23     Oct 24
00-03UT        2          2          3     
03-06UT        2          1          3     
06-09UT        1          2          3     
09-12UT        1          1          2     
12-15UT        1          1          2     
15-18UT        1          1          2     
18-21UT        2          1          3     
21-00UT        2          2          3     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               10            10            25
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             1             5
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              20            20            15
High/Minor_Storm         20            20            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  10            10            30
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Quiet geomagnetic conditions is expected over the next few days with a small chance for active conditions at higher latitudes.


Click HERE for the latest Alerts, Watches and Warnings.


Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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