Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2019 Aug 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 21-Aug 23 2019 is 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 21-Aug 23 2019

            Aug 21     Aug 22     Aug 23
00-03UT        2          2          1     
03-06UT        2          2          1     
06-09UT        2          1          1     
09-12UT        1          1          2     
12-15UT        1          1          1     
15-18UT        2          1          1     
18-21UT        2          1          2     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               10             5             5
Mid/Minor_Storm           1             1             1
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            20            15
High/Minor_Storm         15            15            15
High/Major-Severe_Storm  15             5             5
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Relatively quiet geomagnetic conditions is expected over the next few days. Widespread aurora is unlikely tonight.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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