Geomagnetic Activity and Aurora Forecast

NOTICE:
The forecast data below is provided by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) and is based on the latest available data and modelling. When it comes to spaceweather, current geomagnetic conditions can change rapidly and without notice. Be sure to monitor the SolarHam website for the most up to date information.
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2018 Feb 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 22-Feb 24 2018 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 22-Feb 24 2018

            Feb 22     Feb 23     Feb 24
00-03UT        2          3          2     
03-06UT        2          2          3     
06-09UT        2          2          2     
09-12UT        2          2          1     
12-15UT        1          1          1     
15-18UT        2          2          2     
18-21UT        3          3          3     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
:Product: 3-Day Probability Forecast
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
Mid/Active               25            20            15
Mid/Minor_Storm          10            10             5
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm    1             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              15            15            20
High/Minor_Storm         25            25            20
High/Major-Severe_Storm  30            25            20
#

Geomagnetic and Aurora Forecast
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quieter levels over the next few days. Widespread aurora beyond the Arctic Circle is not expected.


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Source Links: http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-forecast.txt
              http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/3-day-solar-geomag-predictions.txt 
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